El precio de Bitcoin ha vuelto a niveles de descuento, dice Willy Woo

Hechos clave:
  • Una consolidación alcista por encima de $ 50,000 debería completarse, dice Woo.

  • En menos de 3 semanas, una fase de consolidación conduciría a un nuevo rally alcista.

Últimos datos en cadena de Bitcoin revelan un aumento en la demanda de la criptomoneda pionera que ha mitigado el riesgo a la baja, dice un informe del analista Willy Woo publicado este viernes 27 de agosto. Este impulso en la demanda pone el precio de bitcoin en un descuento en comparación con su valoración actual. dice el especialista.

Woo afirma en su análisis que tiene una expectativa de la acción del precio en un rango desde movimientos laterales hasta un escenario claramente alcista, por un período de 1 a 3 semanas. Posteriormente, bitcoin intentaría romper hasta la marca de $ 50,000, anticipa Woo, aunque dice que está menos seguro de cuándo esa resistencia cederá nuevamente.

Teniendo en cuenta el aumento de la demanda de los inversores, el modelo de valoración de bitcoin, basado en el shock de oferta, ha vuelto a un rango de precios cercano a los 55.000 dólares.

El macrociclo apunta a un 2022 alcista

Uno de los aspectos más atractivos de la estructura. en cadena de bitcoin, es la fuerte acumulación de BTC por titulares largo plazo (LTH), en los últimos dos meses, dice Woo.

“Los titulares Divisas de control a largo plazo que no se han movido durante más de 5 meses. Debido al tiempo que tardan las monedas en establecer este estatus, esta métrica no sería muy adecuada para los modelos de mercado de corto plazo, pero su fortaleza se revela en el análisis de los macro movimientos del ciclo ”, dice el especialista.

El siguiente gráfico del shock de oferta, correspondiente a LTH, ofrece una visión de la oferta y la demanda en una escala de tiempo macro.

Un pico en el shock de oferta (aún por ocurrir) precede a un repunte de precios significativo. Fuente: charts.wobull.com.

Los rectángulos, señala Woo, indican la zona de máxima acumulación. Además, esa acumulación máxima conduce a una mayor indisponibilidad o un mayor impacto de la oferta. Los máximos del choque de oferta se han asociado en el pasado con una zona de rebote de precios, señala el analista.

Ahora estamos entrando en la zona de máxima acumulación, lo que sugiere fuertemente una acción de precio alcista a finales de este año y hasta bien entrado el 2022. Esta es una línea de tiempo fascinante ya que, hasta ahora, la expectativa ha sido un mercado bajista en 2022, basado en un 4 año historia del ciclo alcista / bajista. Este ciclo se ve MUY DIFERENTE estructuralmente.

Willy Woo.

Woo no especifica qué modelo tomaría el lugar de los ciclos de bitcoins de cuatro años, pero sugiere que “podría surgir una vía de descubrimiento de precios aleatorios que rastree la adopción de la red y finalmente se capture en ciclos de aproximadamente 10 años”, como se ve en los mercados tradicionales. Esto significa que, en lugar de responder a ciclos predeterminados, el precio dependería más de las tasas de adopción de Bitcoin.

En este último boletín del mercado de bitcoins, Woo cambió la perspectiva bajista reflejada en su evaluación anterior., comentado por CriptoNoticias el martes 24 de agosto, en el que advirtió sobre los flujos entrantes de BTC a las bolsas, lo que incrementó la presión de ventas. Este viernes, CriptoNoticias revisó nuevos datos reportados por este analista, que confirmarían la tendencia contraria, es decir, flujos de BTC que salen de intercambios y mayor acumulación de LTHs.

En el momento de escribir este artículo, el precio de BTC es de $ 48,900, lo que representa un repunte del 1,52% en las últimas 24 horas y también una caída del 3,5% desde el máximo local del lunes pasado. de USD 50.400, según el índice de precios de CriptoNoticias.

Más CriptoNoticias:  5 Noticias de Bitcoin, Blockchain, DeFi y NFT - 23 de septiembre

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